Tuoreimmat USA presidentinvaalit kertoimet – Trump vs. Harris
Yhdysvaltain presidentinvaalit vedonlyönti ehdokkaita on toki Trumpin ja Harrisin lisäksi muitakin. Vedonlyöjät eivät juuri usko muiden ehdokkaiden mahdollisuuksiin, jonka vuoksi USA presidentinvaalit kertoimet keskittyvätkin näin loppusuoralla enää kahteen kärkinimeen.
Esimerkiksi Kalifornian kuvernööri Gavin Newsom on nostettu yhdeksi potentiaalisimmista haastajista, mutta hänelle saa monen pelisivuston vedonlyönnissä jopa kertoimen 200.00. Kuvernööri on itse ilmoittanut tähtäävänsä tosissaan vasta vuoden 2028 presidentinvaaleihin.
All this while, Trump’s odds were miles ahead of what election number crunchers suggested they should be. At the beginning of June, the betting odds said a Biden win was slightly likelier than a coin flip. At the same time, FiveThirtyEight’s had Biden around 70 percent to win. (Nate Silver repeatedly noted this discrepancy and in August that betting markets had become “so dumb as to perhaps be a contrarian indicator at this point.”) The Economist’s had Biden closer to 80 percent.
Vedonlyönti USA Presidentinvaaleista 2024
As the pandemic wore on and Trump’s disinterest in managing it became clear, Biden’s odds got better and better. On June 4, Biden became the favorite for the first time at Bovada, moving to -110 while Trump was even money.
Presidentinvaali kertoimet vedonlyönti Harris vs Trump ovat heilahdelleet voimakkaastikin viime kuukausien aikana, mikä johtuu pitkälti viime hetken muutoksista ehdokasasettelussa. Harrisia jo kesäkuussa veikanneet ovat voineet onnistua haalimaan lapulleen jopa 70-kertoimia.
Here, the computers and the betting odds kept a wide gap. Oddsmakers don’t set odds based on what they think will happen. They aim to limit their risk and to create the best chance of “the house”—the bookmaker—making a profit. Too much money bet on one side is a liability. And in this case, there was so much money on one side: Trump’s.
1) Most of the world saw Trump’s catastrophic handling of the virus for what it was, and his betting odds got longer as his approval rating sank.
Vedonlyönti USA Presidentinvaaleista 2024: Ehdokkaat ja kertoimet
The odds-shifting bonanza on election night, with all that money on the line, was not a sign that the oddsmakers knew something the mainstream media did not. Instead, the Trump spike was the peak of a phenomenon that had been unfolding all year. Many Trump supporters were certain he could not lose, and they plowed so much money into betting on him that they distorted markets in his (and ultimately, the sportsbooks’) favor.
USA Presidentinvaalit ja vedonlyönti
If you were cursed enough to be following betting markets on election night, those numbers might have hit you like the New York Times’ 2016 on megasteroids. Political analysts had warned that delays in counting mail-in ballots could create a “,” where Republicans would look good based on the Election Day vote before Democrats made up ground. But the betting odds were not buying that theory of the race. They moved hard toward Trump when it became clear he would win Florida and looked good in North Carolina, Ohio, and Texas.
USA presidentinvaalit vedonlyönti
Voit lyödä vetoa USAn presidentinvaaleista jopa tuhansilla euroilla. Vedonlyöntiyhtiöiden panosrajat vaihtelevat kuitenkin paljon sivustokohtaisesti.
USA Presidentinvaalit 2024 – Vedonlyönti ja Kertoimet!
For most of the year, Trump’s short odds to win (requiring bettors to risk more money for smaller winnings) were not a reflection of inside political knowledge, or of the oddsmakers being MAGA guys. Bookmakers were taking on so many Trump bets that they consistently tried to discourage people from betting on him.
USA presidentinvaalit vedonlyönti 2024 – kertoimet & vinkit
Harris vedonlyönti kertoimet ennustivat naisen lähtevän pitkältä takamatkalta Trumpiin nähden, mutta kampanja starttasi erinomaisesti Bidenin astuttua hänen taakseen. Harris toimii jo nyt Bidenin varapresidenttinä ja on ottanut roolia monissa julkisissa esiintymisissä ehdokkuutensa tultua julki.
USA presidentinvaalit vedonlyönti & kertoimet 2024
President Joe Biden’s odds to win the 2024 election took a major hit in betting markets after Thursday night’s debate with former President Donald Trump.